China H2 Coal Market likely to see oversupply

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Publish time: 23rd July, 2012      Source: ChinaCCM
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The Chinese coal market is expected to remain oversupplied in the second half of 2012 due to weak demand coupled with rapid growth in supply, an official from the China National Coal Association told reporters on Wednesday.

CNCA Deputy President Jiang Zhimin was pessimistic about the outlook for the rest of 2012 saying that it was difficult to estimate how long the downward spiral would continue.

China's domestic coal production had risen by more than 100 million mt (MT) or 5.6% to 1.91 billion mt (BT) in H1 2012 compared with H1 2011, while net imports also jumped by 58.54 MT or 77.5% to 134.08 MT, he pointed out.

China's coal imports surged 65.9% to 139.85 MT in H1 while exports fell 34.1% to 5.77 MT, according to CNCA data. As much as 1.17 BT of coal was carried from mines by railway in H1, up 4.5% from a year earlier, while 312 MT were transported on ships, down 4.1% from H1 2011, the data showed. Meanwhile, China consumed 1.97 BT of coal in H1 2012, only 2.8% more than in H1 2011. The growth rate was 6.6 percentage points lower than in the same period in 2011, Jiang said.

The power sector accounted for 990 MT of coal consumption in H1, up 2.7% from a year ago, while the steel sector saw a 2% rise to 250 MT, he added. Consumption of steam coal fell by 20 MT in H1 compared with a year earlier as hydropower accounted for most of the demand for electricity in the country, Jiang explained